Butler takes Horizon League crown in rout

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Howard and Shelvin Mack each scored 14 points, as the 12th-ranked Butler Bulldogs officially punched their ticket to the NCAA Tournament with a 70-45 victory over Wright State in the Horizon League Tournament Championship Game.

Howard also pulled down nine rebounds for the Bulldogs (28-4), who were appearing in their fifth straight conference title game. The win gave Butler its sixth Horizon League championship.

Zach Hahn donated 11 points off the bench for the Bulldogs, who finished a perfect 15-0 at Hinkle Fieldhouse this season. The last time Butler went unbeaten at home was during the 2002-03 season.

N'Gai Evans finished with 13 points for the Raiders (20-12), who beat Detroit in the semifinals. Cory Cooperwood and Vaughn Duggins each chipped in nine points in defeat.

Wright State's lone conference title came in 2007 when it beat Butler.

Ahead 9-7 early on, the Bulldogs went on a brief 8-2 spurt to gain some breathing room. Mack's three-pointer capped the flurry, giving Butler a 17-9 lead with less than 12 1/2 minutes remaining.

A Howard three-point play and pair of Ronald Nored free throws put the Bulldogs ahead 32-21 with 4 1/2 minutes to go. The score was 42-28 at the half.

After trading baskets to start the second half, Butler turned the game into a rout by scoring 11 straight points. Gordon Hayward's jumper and layup extended the Bulldogs' lead to 55-30 with 14 minutes to play.

Shawn Vanzant made a pair of foul shots with 2 1/2 minutes left to make it a 69-39 contest.

Game Notes

The Bulldogs beat Milwaukee in the semis...Wright State was the second seed in this tourney...Butler shot 52.2 percent from the field, while the Raiders made just 34.6 percent of their shots...The Bulldogs own a 23-15 edge over Wright State in the all-time series...With the win, Butler tied former league member Xavier for most Horizon League Tournament titles...Butler is 30-2 at home over the past two seasons, and the Bulldogs have won 72 of their last 78 Hinkle Fieldhouse contests...The Bulldogs are now tied with Detroit for all-time Horizon League Tournament wins with 28.

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Best Horse Betting Online

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

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